Econometric Forecasting models for Air Freight in Indonesia (And How Will It be Affected by COVID-19?)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52989/jaet.v1i1.5Kata Kunci:
Econometric, Forecasting, Air Freight, IndonesiaAbstrak
Forecasting using the economic factor as indicators seems significant related. The experts also suggest predict the number of traffic in transport by approaching the econometric models. This paper predicting the upcoming number of air freight until 2030. The result shows GDP is significant related to number of air freight. However, the economic crisis also contributes to decreasing the value. Also, the Covid-19 impact the economic in the country. Predicting the number of air freight in 2020 is going down. The number seems gradually grow after two years and assume the pandemic is over soon
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Referensi
Reza, M. (2013). The Relationship between Logistics and Economic Development in Indonesia: Analysis of Time Series Data. Jurnal Teknik Industri. https://doi.org/10.9744/jti.15.2.119-124
Sahlan, Muh. Aslam, S. D. A. dan Su. H. A. (n.d.). Demand Forecasting Analysis on Air Cargo At Sultan Hasanuddin Internasional Airport Udara Internasional Sultan Hasanuddin Demand Forecasting Analysis on Air Cargo At Sultan. 1–11.
Suryani, E., Chou, S. Y., & Chen, C. H. (2012). Dynamic simulation model of air cargo demand forecast and terminal capacity planning. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 28, 27–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.simpat.2012.05.012
Suryan, V. (2017). Econometric forecasting models for air traffic passenger of indonesia. In Journal of the Civil Engineering Forum (Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 33-44).
Wadud, Z. (2013). Simultaneous Modeling of Passenger and Cargo Demand at an Airport. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2336(1), 63–74. https://doi.org/10.3141/2336-08
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Hak Cipta (c) 2020 Viktor Suryan, Anggi Nidya Sari, Direstu Amalia, M. Fathar Habillah
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